The safe-haven dollar found support just below last week’s peaks on Monday as renewed concerns about China’s property sector and looming U.S. labour data put investors in a cautious mood.
The greenback scaled a 14-month high on the euro and a 19-month top on the yen last week as markets reckoned U.S. interest rates could rise ahead of global peers.
Shares in embattled developer China Evergrande were halted in Hong Kong, rekindling market nerves about the possibility of contagion.
Evergrande said it requested a trading halt pending an announcement about a major transaction, while unit Evergrande Property Services Group said the announcement constitutes “a possible general offer for shares of the company.”
Investors are concerned that a collapse at Evergrande could hurt an already fragile Chinese economy and drag on global growth. The U.S. dollar index edged up 0.08% to 94.029.
Besides Evergrande, a Friday CNBC report which said U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai will announce on Monday that China is not complying with U.S.-China trade rules also provided support to the dollar, especially against the yuan.
Chinese markets are closed for National Day from Monday 4th – Wednesday 6th October.
The spotlight this week for Wall Street will be on labour market data, as investors await the release of the Labour Department’s September jobs report on Friday. Several earnings results from major consumer brands are also on tap.
Traders are looking to see payroll gains accelerate in September after a shockingly disappointing August jobs report when just 235,000 jobs came back versus the more than 700,000 expected. Consensus economists anticipate that 475,000 payrolls returned in September and that the unemployment rate fell to 5.1% or the lowest since March 2020.
This Week’s High Impact Events
The times below are GMT +3.
Monday 4th October
All-Day – OPEC Meetings & OPEC-JMMC Meetings
Potential instruments to Trade: All Crosses.
Tuesday 5th October
06.30 – Australia – RBA Rate Statement & Cash Rate
Potential instruments to Trade: AUD Crosses.
Tentative – Japan – BoJ Gov. Kuroda Speaks
Potential instruments to Trade: JPY Crosses.
17.00 – US – ISM Services PMI
Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.
18.00 – Europe – ECB President Lagarde Speaks
Potential instruments to Trade: EUR Crosses.
20.15 – US – FOMC Member Quarles Speaks
Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.
Wednesday 6th October
04.00 – New Zealand – Official Cash Rate & RBNZ Rate Statement
Potential instruments to Trade: NZD Crosses.
15.15 – US – ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.
17.30– US – Crude Oil Inventories
Potential instruments to Trade: USD & CAD Crosses.
Thursday 7th October
15.30 – US – Unemployment Claims
Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.
17.00 – Canada – Ivey PMI
Potential instruments to Trade: CAD Crosses.
19.00 – Canada – BOC Gov. Macklem Speaks
Potential instruments to Trade: CAD Crosses.
Friday 8th October
03.30 – Australia – RBA Financial Stability Review
If you have any questions or require any assistance, please contact one of our support team members via our Live Chat or email [email protected].
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