The Week Ahead: 25th – 29th July 2022

Overview for the Week Ahead

Asia-Pacific traders face a potentially volatile week, with several high-impact events ahead that may shift market sentiment this week.

Traders prefer to stay on the defensive, as the Fed is set to hike rates by 75 bps on Wednesday, in its strong response to fighting inflation. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned of a slowdown in the US economy over the weekend but said that recession is not inevitable.

China ramped up covid mass testing in Shanghai and Tianjin, which underscored the risk that fresh outbreaks could trigger new and economically costly lockdowns. Record number of covid-hit Australians in hospital as Omicron surged, sapping investors’ confidence.

EUR/USD is trading on the back foot near 1.0200, having stalled the rebound. ECB President Christine Lagarde said early Saturday that “we will keep raising rates for as long as necessary to bring inflation down to our target over the medium term.” Meanwhile, the ECB hawk Robert Holzmann noted, “we will see in the autumn what the economic situation is. Then we can probably decide if we do another 0.5% or less.” Monday’s German IFO survey will shed more light on the eurozone’s economic outlook.

GBP/USD is dropping towards 1.1950, unable to find acceptance above 1.2000 yet again. The UK political uncertainty offsets expectations of a 50 bps BOE rate hike in August. British PM candidate Liz Truss set out investment plans while another candidate Rishi Sunak said on Friday that he would put the government on a crisis footing from “day one” of taking office.

USD/JPY is recovering ground above 136.00, as the US Treasury yields stabilize, pausing their last week’s sell-off. The pair ignores the news that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is reshuffling its board members to bring in two new hawkish members.

Gold has stalled its recovery, consolidating around $1,730, with all eyes on the US top-tier data and Fed event in the week ahead.

Bitcoin drops back below the $22,000 mark amid pre-Fed anxiety while Ethereum attacks $1,500, losing nearly 4.50% on the day.

Have your trading charts ready!

This Week’s High Impact Events

The times below are GMT +3.

Monday 25^th July

11.00 – Europe – German ifo Business Climate

Potential instruments to Trade: EUR Crosses.

Tuesday 26^th July

17.00 – US – CB Consumer Confidence & Richmond Manufacturing Index

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

Wednesday 27^th July

04.30 – Australia – CPI q/q & Trimmed Mean CPI q/q

Potential instruments to Trade: AUD Crosses.

Tentative – Australia – RBNZ Statement of Intent

Potential instruments to Trade: AUD Crosses.

15.30 – USA – Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, & Durable Goods Orders m/m

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

17.00 – US – Pending Home Sales m/m

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

21.00 – US – FOMC Statement, & Federal Funds Rate

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

21.30 – US – FOMC Press Conference

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

Thursday 28^th July

15.30 – US – Advance GDP q/q, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, & Unemployment Claims

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

Friday 29^th July

12.00 – Europe – CPI Flash Estimate y/y & Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

Potential instruments to Trade: EUR Crosses.

15.30 – Canada – GDP m/m

Potential instruments to Trade: EUR Crosses.

15.30 – US – Core PCE Price Index m/m

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

17.00 – US – Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment

Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.

For more information – https://errante.eu/economic-calendar/

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